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Saturday 5 February 2022

Will Ukraine crisis cripple global logistics?

 Politics can disrupt logistics big time and so all logisticians should be concerned over the political crisis enveloping the Ukraine and making contingency plans accordingly. How events will turn out is unclear but is there something of double standards at work and a sense of deja vu, at least in part which hopefully will concentrate minds before it is too late?

Russia has genuine security concerns about the Ukraine becoming a NATO member, which if enacted would allow NATO in certain circumstances to park nuclear weapons on Russia's doorstep. If NATO is encouraging the Ukraine to join them that would be irresponsible because NATO does not need the Ukraine as a member, other than its ostensible desire to encircle and contain Russia as much as possible. So what do I mean by double standards and a perilous deja vu possibility?

In 1962 the Cuban missile crisis brought humanity to the brink of a nuclear third world war. Cuba, a sovereign country on America's doorstep, had allowed Russia to install nuclear-capable missiles but America, invoking its own Monroe doctrine, used force of arms to stop Russian freighters at sea. Evidently, it was acceptable for America to have a Monroe Doctrine excuse but not for any other countries expressing genuine, similar security concerns, hence the double standards at work and sense of deja vu. 

One possibility for a solution is that if the Ukraine became a NATO member then NATO should give an unconditional guarantee that no nuclear weapons and their delivery systems would be placed on its soil. The NATO camp should also not forget the huge debt the free world owes Russia for its appallingly high sacrifices to rid the world of its worst political scourge, namely Nazi tyranny. 

                                          Russian tanks ostensibly massing on Ukraine's border